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Andrew Coban··1 min read

You're Asking Three Years Too Late

A referendum campaign is a withdrawal from an account your district either funded, or didn't, over the three years before the vote.

It's April, and the district needs a yes. A referendum, a budget, an override; the ask is on the ballot and the campaign starts now. Mailers. A community night with renderings. A slide deck explaining the cost per household.

Turnout is what it always is. The people who show up have already decided, and most of them decided a long time ago.

That vote wasn't won or lost in April. It was settled over the three years before it, in a hundred small moments where the district either did what it said it would do, visibly, or did it quietly and hoped somebody noticed.

Trust behaves like a balance. You fund it in the years when nothing is being asked, and you draw on it the one year you need something. Six weeks of mailers can't create a balance. A campaign can only spend what's already there.

Which is why "we'll communicate more during the campaign" is a plan for the wrong three months. What a parent remembers in April is whether the full-day kindergarten promised in year one actually opened, and whether anyone ever told her how it went.

A campaign asks a community to trust you. The three years before it decide whether they will.